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Your lead It's a guess, I know, but even so ...

Poll: What do you lead, trick 1 (26 member(s) have cast votes)

What do you lead, trick 1

  1. Spade (5 votes [19.23%])

    Percentage of vote: 19.23%

  2. Heart (20 votes [76.92%])

    Percentage of vote: 76.92%

  3. Diamond (1 votes [3.85%])

    Percentage of vote: 3.85%

  4. Club (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

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#1 User is offline   1eyedjack 

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Posted 2007-April-14, 02:36

Scoring: IMP

Uncontested auction
RHO deals and opens 1NT (12-14)
LHO signs out in 3NT (usual gamut of options available)
Your lead?

Psych (pron. saik): A gross and deliberate misstatement of honour strength and/or suit length. Expressly permitted under Law 73E but forbidden contrary to that law by Acol club tourneys.

Psyche (pron. sahy-kee): The human soul, spirit or mind (derived, personification thereof, beloved of Eros, Greek myth).
Masterminding (pron. mPosted ImagesPosted ImagetPosted Imager-mPosted ImagendPosted Imageing) tr. v. - Any bid made by bridge player with which partner disagrees.

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2000 years earlier: "morituri te salutant"

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#2 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2007-April-14, 02:51

Have I missed something? A heart seems obvious. At matchpoints, there's always a case for a passive lead, of course. But at IMPs, I have no second thoughts. Besides, even a spade could give a trick away if partner has Qx, and declarer and dummy both have tenancies.
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#3 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2007-April-14, 03:24

At IMP's this is an easy low lead (don't tell my partner :) ). The best chance to beat it is finding partner with the queen.

At MP's it's harder. I'd not lead a then - I'll blow a trick far too often. A passive seems to be normal, but I don't like that much - basically I'm an active opening leader, and I'd pick up partner's potential Qxx (or JTxx).

I'd probably lead a , a compromise between going passive and really active. And I might strike gold and set it. Besides, I'd make my partner happy. :D
Kind regards,
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#4 User is offline   nik1998 

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Posted 2007-April-14, 06:42

I lead a! :)
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#5 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2007-April-14, 08:27

Did anyone look at his hand? A heart has like a 95% chance to blow a trick. Spade for me.
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#6 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2007-April-14, 09:35

Easy imo, the rest is awful
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#7 User is offline   1eyedjack 

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Posted 2007-April-14, 12:08

Thanks for the comments and votes. I was responder (West). I put partner into 4 which failed when North was able to use K entry to lead through declarer. I was thinking all the time in the auction that I should just bid 3NT in response to 1NT, but chickened out. Whether South would have just bashed out 4th highest of longest and strongest I will never know. But I feel a bit sick.

Scoring: IMP

Psych (pron. saik): A gross and deliberate misstatement of honour strength and/or suit length. Expressly permitted under Law 73E but forbidden contrary to that law by Acol club tourneys.

Psyche (pron. sahy-kee): The human soul, spirit or mind (derived, personification thereof, beloved of Eros, Greek myth).
Masterminding (pron. mPosted ImagesPosted ImagetPosted Imager-mPosted ImagendPosted Imageing) tr. v. - Any bid made by bridge player with which partner disagrees.

"Gentlemen, when the barrage lifts." 9th battalion, King's own Yorkshire light infantry,
2000 years earlier: "morituri te salutant"

"I will be with you, whatever". Blair to Bush, precursor to invasion of Iraq
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#8 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2007-April-14, 13:33

Would you still feel sick if the opponents' hands were reversed, and south had an automatic diamond lead with 4 cold? Bidding 4 is normal, sometimes stuff happens.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#9 User is offline   1eyedjack 

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Posted 2007-April-14, 14:09

jdonn, on Apr 14 2007, 08:33 PM, said:

Would you still feel sick if the opponents' hands were reversed, and south had an automatic diamond lead with 4 cold? Bidding 4 is normal, sometimes stuff happens.

I always feel sick when my instinct tells me to do something, I go against it and fail when my instinct would have worked.

Don't get me wrong, I can easily construct hands where 4 is the better spot. Reversing N/S is just one example. I can also easily construct other opposing hands where a direct 3N is the winner. As to which is the long term better strategy I really do not know. The purpose of the poll was to determine whether on this particular occasion my fears were likely to be illfounded. But like I said we shall never know what South would really have led.
Psych (pron. saik): A gross and deliberate misstatement of honour strength and/or suit length. Expressly permitted under Law 73E but forbidden contrary to that law by Acol club tourneys.

Psyche (pron. sahy-kee): The human soul, spirit or mind (derived, personification thereof, beloved of Eros, Greek myth).
Masterminding (pron. mPosted ImagesPosted ImagetPosted Imager-mPosted ImagendPosted Imageing) tr. v. - Any bid made by bridge player with which partner disagrees.

"Gentlemen, when the barrage lifts." 9th battalion, King's own Yorkshire light infantry,
2000 years earlier: "morituri te salutant"

"I will be with you, whatever". Blair to Bush, precursor to invasion of Iraq
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#10 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2007-April-15, 07:38

1eyedjack, on Apr 14 2007, 08:09 PM, said:

I always feel sick when my instinct tells me to do something, I go against it and fail when my instinct would have worked.

After many years playing this game, I learned to trust my instinct more than my reasoning... I've been gaining more than losing this way.
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